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Winter Ends With Low Precipitation

Still one of best winters in years

Snowpack is above normal at the Fry SNOTEL site near the San Francisco Peaks in Flagstaff.
Above average snowpack can be seen in this view of the San Francisco Peaks from the Fry SNOTEL site. (Photo taken Feb. 1, 2008)


PHOENIX
, April 3, 2008
—  The Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) and cooperating partners are forecasting normal to below normal runoff in Arizona’s major rivers and streams for the remainder of the forecast period (through May) based on recent snowpack measurements. March runoff was 125 percent of normal on the Salt River and 219 percent of normal on the Verde River. The Salt and Verde River reservoirs are essentially full at 98 percent of capacity.

Statewide, the April 1 snowpack measured 87 percent of the 30-year average. The snowpack is rapidly melting and is virtually gone below 7,500 feet elevation. Monitoring stations show very little precipitation during March, ranging from 7 to 11 percent of average.

NRCS water resources specialist Dino DeSimone said that as a result of receiving essentially no precipitation during the past month, the forecast calls for normal to below normal streamflows in all basins for the remainder of the spring snowmelt season. “This winter started out with some big storms producing well above average snowpacks, but due to an extremely dry March, we’re ending the season with low numbers for streamflow. Overall, however, this has been a very good winter in terms of total precipitation and runoff, resulting in filling of the reservoirs on the Salt River Project system,” said DeSimone.

NRCS takes snow measurements throughout the winter to forecast and track the state’s surface water supplies for the coming year. As a result of these snow measurements, an Arizona Basin Outlook Report is developed and issued every two weeks beginning January 1 through April 1. The report is used by farmers, ranchers, municipal water suppliers, and other water users to help manage limited water supplies.

The snow survey season began January 1, when the NRCS, U.S. Forest Service, National Park Service, and the Navajo Nation began manual measurements of snow depth and snow water content at 38 measurement sites across northern and eastern Arizona.

The same locations are measured each year. The NRCS and its cooperative snow surveyors have been measuring snowpacks and estimating spring runoff in Arizona since 1935.


April 1, 2008 Snowpack Levels

Watershed

Snowpack levels
based on 30-year average

Salt River Basin 68%
Verde River Basin 47%
Little Colorado River Basin 47%
San Francisco-Upper Gila River Basin 68%
   
Other Points of Interest  
Chuska Mountains 135%
Central Mogollon Rim  46%
Grand Canyon 86%
San Francisco Peaks 147%
   
Statewide Snowpack  87%
   

 

April 1, 2008 Runoff Forecast
 

Location

Percent of Median Streamflow
April-May

Salt River (near Roosevelt) 115%
Verde River (at Horseshoe Dam)  73%
Gila River (at San Carlos) 84%
Little Colorado River
(above Lyman Lake)
105%
   



For more information, call NRCS Water Resources Specialist Dino DeSimone at 602-280-8786.

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